AGGRESSIVE lending of hundreds of millions of dollars on discounted terms by China in the South Pacific is leading to financial distress in the region and causing island nations to grapple with debt repayment.
The government of Vanuatu was forced to lift its GST-style consumption tax from 12.5 per cent to 15 per cent on January 1, largely in an attempt to help service huge concessional loans from China, while Tonga is scrambling to start repaying massive Chinese debts with a five-year amnesty brokered by the International Monetary Fund to expire in coming months.
Across the Pacific, a relative building boom has taken place on the back of large discounted or “concessional” loans granted by China on the proviso the borrower nations spend the money building infrastructure using Chinese construction groups.
In addition to those loans, which typically are made offering a five- to seven-year interest grace period before interest rates of between 1 per cent and 3 per cent kick in over a 15- to 20-year repayment schedule, China has “gifted” tens of millions of dollars worth of infrastructure projects.
In the 10 years to 2016, China transferred at least $2.2 billion (US$1.7 billion) to Pacific nations, according to think tank Lowy Institute, with that money partly by way of gifts, but overwhelmingly in the form of concessional loans.
In Port Vila, a giant, 1000-seat volcano-shaped National Convention Centre dominates the Vanuatu capital’s skyline, towering over the surrounding neighbourhoods comprised of single-storey modest brick homes and shacks with corrugated iron roofs.
The inside of the cavernous structure has the feeling of an Opera House, with soaring ceilings, complete with rows of raised galleries.
In addition to the auditorium, the centre, handed over to the Vanuatu government in 2016, has a 600-seat fully equipped restaurant and kitchen, four meeting rooms, a “VIP room” and a room with 200 seats for the purpose of press conferences.
And even though the project was a “gift” from China, it too is weighing on the Vanuatu government’s finances: the very small amount of rent it has been able to raise from the centre has not been enough to cover its electricity bill.
Critics point out Port Vila does not have enough hotel rooms to house the number of visitors the convention centre is designed for.
Earlier this month, Australian International Development Minister Concetta Fierravanti-Wells caused tensions with Beijing after accusing China of constructing “useless buildings”, “roads to nowhere” and “white elephants” in the Pacific. China angrily rejected those claims.
About 1km north of the convention centre is Vanuatu’s new Prime Minister’s Office, an $11.8 million(US$9.4 million) sprawling project — another gift from Beijing — that overlooks the picturesque Male Bay.
The Australian was told that Vanuatu had been forced to establish a debt management unit in a bid to deal with the problem.
Alongside lifting its value- added tax to 15 per cent, Vanuatu is also considering introducing income taxes for the first time.
Introducing such a tax would have major implications for the nation’s status as a tax haven, used by businesses and individuals worldwide.
John Sala, who was Vanuatu parliamentary secretary for revenue initiatives until he was stood down last month, has said the revenue increases were to fund “vital social services such as education and health” and “also its current external debts”.
International experts such as Derek Brien of the Pacific Institute of Public Policy have said the push to lift revenue is unambiguously a result of the need to make repayments on foreign loans.
The Vanuatu government did not respond to requests for comment.
Vanuatu’s Ministry of Finance estimates the nation’s foreign debt to GDP is set to grow from 18 per cent last year to 26.4 per cent next year, and up to 33 per cent by 2022 due to the “current large project disbursements”.
Total foreign debt is $440m (US$353 million), including $210m(US$168 million) to China, $120m (US$96 million) to Japan, $70m (US$56 million) to the Asian Development Bank and $40m(US$32 million0 to the World Bank.
In Tonga, the marks of Chinese money are impossible to miss. In downtown Nuku’alofa, a gift from China has recently been completed: the towering five-level St George Palace, a huge $13.5m(US$10.8 million) complex that will house the Prime Minister’s Office, the Ministry of Finance and the office of Trade and Foreign Affairs.
Inside, the layout is opulent: carved wooded archways, impressive pillars, and rows of chandeliers hang from the ceiling.
But, like Vanuatu, Tonga is also heavily indebted to China. It has $269m (US$216 million) in total public debt, of which $237.7m (US$191 .2 million) is foreign debt — 44 per cent of GDP.
Of that foreign debt, $143.7m (US$115.5 million), or 60 per cent, is owed to China with almost all the rest owed to the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank.
In 2008 and 2010, Tonga took out two loans from the Export-Import Bank of China, or EXIM Bank, totalling $311m (US$250 million).
The first, $146m (US$117 million) was to fund the rebuilding of the Tonga CBD after a 2006 riot that destroyed between 60 per cent and 80 per cent of the Nuku’alofa centre, and the second, $106m(US$85 million), ostensibly for road building and rehabilitation works (although much of the second loan was spent building Vuna Wharf and renovating the Royal Palace). In 2013, when the repayments on the first loan became due after a five-year grace period expired, Tonga called on China to convert the loans to “grants” but those requests were rejected.
After intervention by the IMF, China agreed to postpone payments for five years. But the term of the loans remained the same, meaning when principal and interest payments are required to be paid again — in 2018-2019 — they will be even higher than in 2013.
China’s ambassador to Australia, Cheng Jingye, declined to comment when asked whether those Tongan debts would be enforced in coming months.
The frustration with China is palpable in Tonga.
Many business owners told The Australian that residents felt “helpless” and held to ransom by China.
Locals said they felt they had been sold out by the Tongan government, which had been heavily wooed by China and had welcomed lavish gifts with open arms.
A representative of the Tongan Chamber of Commerce and Industry said the issue of debt to China was a “red hot topic” but could not comment further. The Tongan government declined to respond.
One taxi driver said the feeling among Tongans was the Chinese government was loading up the nation with unserviceable debt, while Chinese nationals were putting locals out of work.
Across the island nation retail trading is dominated by Chinese nationals who run small stores, stocked with goods brought in on containers from China.